Social Current has released its 2025-27 Federal Public Policy Agenda, outlining key priorities and a bold vision for the 119th Congress.

This agenda is the culmination of months of research and development, incorporating the priorities of the Social Current network that were gathered through focus groups, surveys, and one-on-one conversations.

Rooted in the belief that strengthening the social sector strengthens communities, the agenda focuses on critical areas vital to the sector’s ability to deliver essential services, including:

• Workforce Stability and Sustainability
• Financial Health and Sustainability
• Insurance Affordability and Accessibility
• Health and Well-Being

View and download the full agenda online to learn more. 

Exploring Benefits and Concerns of Permanent Tax Cuts for Working Families

On Jan. 14, the U.S. House Committee on Ways and Means convened a hearing to discuss making the tax cuts enacted during President Donald Trump’s previous administration permanent. Several witnesses, including small business owners as well as a parent, spoke of the positive effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. They emphasized economic growth and investment, particularly in light of the doubled standard deduction and the expanded child tax credit.

Several representatives, however, raised concerns about the increasing national debt, noting that tax reductions disproportionately benefited corporations and wealthy business owners. Brendan Duke, senior director for economic policy at the Center for American Progress, echoed representatives’ concerns through his testimony. He cautioned that any current or future spending cuts intended to offset the cost of tax reductions could make food, health care, and housing increasingly unaffordable for lower- and middle-class Americans.

ACF Calls for Stronger Response to Missing Children in Foster Care

To help communities enhance their response to children missing from foster care, the Administration for Children and Families (ACF) hosted a series of listening sessions in 2024, bringing together service providers, child welfare professionals, and law enforcement agencies.

Feedback revealed inconsistencies in the definition of the word “missing” and confusion over reporting responsibilities, which often result in delays in responding during critical periods for a youth’s safety and wellbeing. Participants recommended a coordinated, interagency response, including improved communication, clearer reporting protocols, and stronger cross-sector collaboration, to lead timely and effective interventions.

Additional recommendations included expanding training and resources for child welfare professionals, law enforcement, and service providers. Participants also emphasized the need for a focus on human trafficking, culturally competent care, and addressing the unique needs of Native youth.

SAMHSA Releases Updated National Behavioral Health Crisis Care Guidance

The Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) has released the National Behavioral Health Crisis Care Guidance, including three documents:

• 2025 National Guidelines for a Behavioral Health Coordinated System of Crisis Care
• Model Definitions for Behavioral Health Emergency, Crisis, and Crisis-Related Services
• A draft Mobile Crisis Team Services: An Implementation Toolkit

The updated national guidance was created to help state, territory, tribal, and local governments, along with key stakeholders, understand, implement, and sustain effective behavioral health crisis services. It is based on three foundational elements crucial to an integrated crisis care system, with the ultimate goal that everyone should have access to:

• Someone to Contact: Services like the 988 Lifeline and other behavioral health hotlines provide immediate, accessible support.
• Someone to Respond: Mobile crisis teams deliver rapid, on-site interventions to de-escalate crises and link individuals to the care they need.
• A Safe Place for Help: Stabilization services offer a safe environment where individuals can receive care, crisis resolution assistance, and connections to appropriate resources for ongoing support.

The guidance highlights the importance of follow-up services, care coordination, key service intersections, and the development of crisis systems, reflecting the evolving national crisis landscape following the transition to the 988 Lifeline.

New Report Highlights Progress and Challenges in Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity

The U.S. Departments of Labor, Health and Human Services, and the Treasury released their 2024 report to congress on the enforcement and implementation of the Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act (MHPAEA). The report details the progress made by group health plans and health insurance issuers in meeting compliance standards, while also identifying areas for improvement to ensure parity with medical and surgical benefits. It also outlines ongoing federal efforts to strengthen MHPAEA protections, reduce barriers for beneficiaries, and increase awareness of the Act’s protections.

Sector Updates from the Judiciary 

Supreme Court to Review Student Loan Forgiveness for Fraudulent Practices by Schools

The U.S. Supreme Court will review the process for loan discharges in cases where students were misled or deceived by their schools. The regulations introduced by the Biden Administration aimed to simplify the loan discharge process for borrowers who could prove their school misled them, breached a contract, or engaged in aggressive recruitment tactics. The rules also expanded options for students to have their loans forgiven if their school closed.

The Supreme Court accepted the case after the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit overturned the new procedures, ruling that the Department of Education lacked authority to directly forgive loans for students misled or defrauded. Instead, the court ruled that students must first default on their loans first and then raise fraud as a defense during debt-collection proceedings in court.

Federal Court Strikes Down Expansion of Title IX Rule

The U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Kentucky struck down a federal rule implemented by the Biden Administration that aimed to ban discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity in federally funded schools. The rule sought to expand the protections under Title IX, but the court ruled Title IX’s prohibition of discrimination ‘on the basis of sex’ applies solely to an individual’s male or female sex.

Subscribe to the Policy and Advocacy Radar to receive our biweekly policy roundup, which includes commentary on issues in Social Current’s federal policy agenda, opportunities to take action, and curated news and opportunities.

The Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act, introduced by Sens. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.), John Cornyn (R-Texas), and Tommy Tuberville (R-Ala.), was created to study and prevent child abuse in youth residential programs. It was signed into law December 2024.

Key Provisions

The Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act requires the Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services to contract with the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine to conduct a study examining youth residential programs. The findings will be published in a public report every two years for a period of 10 years. The study and recommendations should involve consultations with child advocates, health professionals, state and federal agencies, subject matter experts, and individuals with lived experience.

The report must include the following information:

• The nature, prevalence, severity, and scope of child abuse, neglect, and deaths in youth residential programs
• All federal and state funding sources for youth residential programs
• Existing regulation of youth residential programs
• Existing standards of care of national accreditation entities that provide accreditation or certification of youth residential programs
• Risk assessment tools

Additionally, the report must include recommendations to support the development and implementation of education and training resources for professional and paraprofessional personnel in several fields, including health care, law enforcement, judiciary, social work, child protection, education, and child care. The recommendations should center lived experience, interagency communication, evidence-based practices, and the legal rights of children in youth residential programs.

The report will also include recommendations for community-based alternatives to youth residential programs that are more accessible and follow evidence-based standards to support individuals’ health and safety, including by supporting continuity of education and providing mentorship.

Expected Impact on Human Service Sector

The Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act is expected to provide greater oversight and data transparency for institutional youth treatment programs. It affirms a longstanding commitment to rigorous evidence-based standards and children’s safety and well-being.

Join Social Current’s grassroots advocacy network to be alerted about new advocacy opportunities and tools and resources, and subscribe to the Policy and Advocacy Radar to receive our biweekly policy newsletter.

Learn more about Social Current’s government affairs and advocacy work online.

Social Current has released its 2025-27 Federal Public Policy Agenda, outlining key priorities and a bold vision for the 119th Congress. Social Current is dedicated to building a more equitable society where all people can thrive, and this public policy agenda reaffirms our commitment to harnessing the power of the social sector as a catalyst for change.

“In the face of an unpredictable political landscape, Social Current remains committed to challenging the status quo and addressing ongoing inequities,” said Social Current President and CEO Jody Levison-Johnson. “We understand that meaningful progress requires collective action, and we are determined to work with our network of organizations, their communities, and all of our partners to drive forward essential public policy changes.”

The 2025-27 Federal Public Policy Agenda is the culmination of months of research and development, incorporating the priorities of the Social Current network gathered through focus groups, surveys, and one-on-one conversations. It reflects the diverse perspectives of our network organizations, the challenges they face, and the future they aspire to create.

This agenda translates our vision and values into concrete, actionable priorities that address systemic challenges, foster resilience, and empower organizations to increase their impact. Rooted in the belief that strengthening the social sector strengthens communities, the agenda focuses on critical areas vital to the sector’s ability to deliver essential services, including:

• Workforce Stability and Sustainability
• Financial Health and Sustainability
• Insurance Affordability and Accessibility
• Health and Well-Being

Access the full agenda online to learn more about our priority actions in each area.

To help human and social services professionals learn about pressing issues, build advocacy skills, and take collective action, Social Current will be hosting several webinars and trainings. Register now to participate:

• Social Current’s Federal Policy Agenda Jan. 22
• Strategies for Workforce Sustainability and Insurance Accessibility Feb. 19
• Financial Health and Equity-Focused Advocacy March 27
• Take Back Your Narrative: Advocacy 101 April 2
• Policy Shifts: Sector Opportunities and Hazards for 2025 and Beyond April 16
• Behavioral Health Integration and Systems Change April 22
• Advocacy Amplified Training and Hill Day June 16-18 in Washington, D.C. (Register by May 1)

“The 2025-27 Federal Policy Agenda is not only a roadmap for addressing the challenges facing our sector, but also a call to action to come together and advocate for the critical issues that will help us build a stronger, more equitable society,” said Blair Abelle-Kiser, senior director of government affairs. “I encourage everyone to join us for our upcoming Advocacy in Action webinar series, where we’ll dive deeper into how we can collectively advance these priorities.”

Join Social Current’s grassroots advocacy network to be alerted about new advocacy opportunities and tools and resources, and subscribe to the Policy and Advocacy Radar to receive our biweekly policy newsletter.

Learn more about Social Current’s government affairs and advocacy work online.

Martin Luther King Jr. Day, Jan. 20, 2025, is an annual observance to honor the life and legacy of the prominent civil rights leader. There are a variety of ways to recognize the holiday, including personal reflection, education, service projects, and advocacy.

“At Social Current, we say that equity is a journey, which always reminds me of the Martin Luther King Jr. quote, ‘If you can’t fly then run, if you can’t run then walk, if you can’t walk then crawl, but whatever you do, you have to keep moving forward,’” says Romero Davis, senior director of practice excellence at Social Current. “It’s a reminder of the principles of equity, justice, and the ongoing pursuit of a better, more inclusive society that Martin Luther King Jr. advocated for throughout his life.”

The King Center has given this year the theme, Mission Possible: Protecting Freedom, Justice, and Democracy in the Spirit of Nonviolence365. The center notes, “While apathy and despair tempt us, we must choose love-centered action and hope. We invite citizens of the world to rise with us … to co-labor with us in strategically addressing the inequities and ideologies that threaten our existence.”

Advancing Justice and Equity Through Federal Public Policy

Social Current is committed to advancing positive social change through public policy advocacy, learning opportunities, and full range of solutions. Our 2025-2027 Federal Public Policy agenda, which will be released Jan. 21, channels our vision and values into specific, actionable priorities that address systemic challenges, build resilience, and create opportunities for organizations to create positive impact.

We invite all human and social services professionals to join us in advancing key policies. Throughout 2025 and beyond, we will be sharing tools, resources, and training to help you and your organizations build your advocacy muscles. Join us for our free four-part advocacy webinar series to learn about key issues and how you can take action:

• Social Current’s Federal Policy Agenda: Jan. 22 from 1-2 p.m. ET
• Strategies for Workforce Sustainability and Insurance Accessibility: Feb. 19 from 1-2 p.m. ET
• Financial Health and Equity-Focused Advocacy: March 27 from 1-2 p.m. ET
• Behavioral Health Integration and Systems Change: April 22 from 1-2 p.m. ET

Register online to participate.

To receive information about opportunities to take action, gain access to exclusive resources, and work collaboratively alongside fellow social sector advocates, sign up for free to be a part of Social Current’s grassroots advocacy network.

“This federal public policy agenda is our roadmap for turning shared aspirations into action and ensuring that social sector organizations and leaders have the tools, resources, and support needed to thrive,” said Blair Abelle-Kiser, senior director of government affairs at Social Current. “It is a bold expression of our mission, vision, and values, designed to strengthen the sector and help create a society where all people can reach their full potential.”

Advancing EDI Strategies for Teams and Organizations

In addition to advancing public policies to create a more just and equitable society, it is important to advance parallel equity, diversity, and inclusion (EDI) goals within teams and organizations. Social Current is offering a four-part virtual learning series, starting March 26, that will delve into strategies for supporting workforce resilience.

The four-part series is rooted in EDI best practices for supervisors and leaders. Participants will learn how to help their diverse teams manage uncertainty and interpersonal conflict so they can create a healthy and resilient culture. Sessions in the series cover how to have crucial conversation, encourage psychological safety, and foster belonging.

The King Center affirms that its vision of the Beloved Community, “is not a lofty, unattainable utopia but an inclusive, achievable society, in which problems and conflict can exist, but are resolved peaceably.”

Learn more about Social Current’s work to support organizations in creating healthy and equitable society through its core Impact Areas.

In 2024, the Social Current network’s priorities and top areas of interest can be seen through its usage of the Knowledge and Insights Center (KIC). Information and materials on topics related to Social Current’s impact areas were accessed through KIC’s:

• Resource library
• On-demand learning
• Personalized research via the Ask-a-Librarian service
• Research, business, and media databases

The most prominent themes across library and learning usage and research requests were:

• Workforce Resilience: Employee mental health, professional burnout, culture and wellbeing, trauma-informed strategies for workforce, organizational trust, staffing trends and retention strategies
• Organizational Development and Performance: Leadership techniques for building high-performing teams, logic models and program evaluations, performance quality improvement (PQI), change management, board governance
• Advancing Equity: Diversity and equity models for boards, anti-racism tools and templates, social determinants of health (SDOH) and health equity, ethics and anti-equity, diversity, and inclusion (EDI) mandates
• Nonprofit Best Practices: Board member assessments, promotion policies, staff pay differentials, productivity standards, operating reserves, and telehealth policies and procedures

Nonprofit leaders and staff further utilized the KIC information and resources to learn more about emerging public health challenges, innovative funding strategies, the opportunities and risks of implementing AI-based solutions, and more.

Here is a snapshot of the most popular KIC resources in 2024.

Resource Library

Curated by professional librarians, this extensive clearinghouse library contains thousands of catalog records in more than 20 topical resource collections.

Top 10 Articles from Our Resource Library:

1. 2024 U.S. National Survey on the Mental Health of LGBTQ+ Young People
2. 2024 Nonprofit Salaries and Staffing Trends
3. 5 Strategies for Improving Mental Health at Work
4. 9 Questions to Help You Figure Out Why You’re Burned Out
5. 10 Leadership Techniques for Building High-Performing Teams
6. A Trauma-Informed Approach to Workforce: An Introductory Guide for Employers and Workforce Development Organizations
7. Create (Better) Culture: The Keys to Wellbeing and Leadership
8. 10 Pitfalls That Destroy Organizational Trust
9. Best Employee Benefits In 2024
10. Learning to Love Your Logic Model

Ask-A-Librarian Research Support

In 2024, KIC knowledge specialists provided more than 140 research hours searching, evaluating, and curating responses to information requests. The most popular research topics were:

On Jan. 1, 2025, a new out-of-pocket cap on drug costs went into effect for Medicare Part D patients. The new cap is set at $2,000 per year for all prescriptions covered by Part D plans. 

The change was scheduled as part of the Inflation Reductions Act (IRA), which takes several steps to make health care more affordable and accessible.  

In addition to caps on drug costs, the IRA introduced other critical changes: 

• Insulin Costs: The cost of insulin is now capped at $35 per month for covered insulin products  

• Zero-Cost Vaccines: Medicare Part D patients can access recommended vaccines (like flu, shingles, COVID-19 and RSV) for free.  

• Pharmaceutical Negotiation: The law also allows Medicare to negotiate directly with drug companies each year to lower the prices of many of the most expensive and most commonly used prescription drugs 

More information about the IRA changes can be found from the Centers of Medicaid and Medicare services.

The Children’s Bureau Releases Program Instructions 

New guidance includes: 

• ACF-ACYF-CB-PI-24-10: State Requirements for Electing Title IV-E Prevention and Family Services and Programs: The program instruction informs state Title IV-E agencies of the Title IV-E prevention program requirements and flexibility agencies may provide to tribes with whom they have agreements. 

• ACYF-CB-PI-24-11: Tribal Title IV-E Agency Requirements for Electing Title IV-E Prevention and Family Services and Programs: The program instruction informs tribal Title IV-E agencies administering or supervising the administration of Title IV-E prevention program requirements. It additionally exempts tribal Title IV-E agencies from the evaluation waiver and continuous quality improvement requirements, extending flexibilities Title IV-E agencies offer. 

ACF Publishes Additions to the Child Welfare Policy Manual 

On Dec. 20, 2024, the Administration for Children and Families published two additions to the Child Welfare Policy Manual regarding access to services provided under Title IV-B of the Social Security Act and the Child Abuse Prevention and Treatment Act according to immigration status. 

The additions can be found in: 

• Question 3, 1 CAPTA, Assurances and Requirements: May a state agency deny access to services provided under CAPTA based solely on the immigration status of the child, parent, or family members? 

• Question 3, 1 TITLE IV-B, Citizenship/Alienage Requirements: May a Title IV-B agency deny access to services provided under Title IV-B based solely on the immigration status of the child, parent, or family members? 

President Biden Signs Key Legislation 

• H.R. 9076, Supporting America’s Children and Families Act: Introduced by Rep. Darin LaHood (R-Ill.), the bill reauthorizes, entirely for the first time in over 15 years, child welfare programs under Title IV-B of the Social Security Act that provide federal resources to states, tribes, and territories for family preservation and to promote the safety, permanence, and well-being of children in foster care. 

• H.R. 663, Native American Child Protection Act (NACPA): Introduced by U.S. Sens. Ben Ray Luján (D-N.M.) and Susan Collins (R-Maine), NACPA reauthorizes and reforms key programs related to the prevention, investigation, treatment, and prosecution of family violence, child abuse, and child neglect involving Indian children and families.  

• S. 1351, Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act: Introduced by Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.), the bill requires the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine to study and issue recommendations to improve coordination and the implementation of best practices regarding the health, safety, care, and treatment of youth in youth residential programs. 

• S. 1147, Jenna Quinn Law: Introduced by Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), the bill allows the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to provide grants for evidence-informed child sexual abuse awareness and prevention programs, which may be awarded for up to five years.  

• H.R. 7213, Autism Collaboration, Accountability, Research, Education, and Support (CARES) Act of 2024: Introduced by Rep. Chris Smith (R-N.J.), the bill reauthorizes several programs that support autism education, research, and resources.  

• H.R. 670, Think Differently Database Act: Introduced by Rep. Marcus Molinaro (R-N.Y.), the bill requires HHS to establish a website that provides information on resources available to individuals with a disability and their caregivers and families that is searchable by ZIP Code. 

• H.R. 5536, Grant Transparency Act of 2023: Introduced by Rep. Russell Fry (R-S.C.), the bill establishes transparency requirements for notices of funding opportunity in applications for competitive grants awarded by federal agencies, excluding the Government Accountability Office. 

• H.R. 1432, VSO Equal Tax Treatment Act: Introduced by Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-Ohio), the bill expands the deductibility of charitable contributions to all federally chartered tax-exempt organizations serving current and former Armed Forces members. 

• S. 2513, Veterans Benefits Improvement Act of 2024: Introduced by Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), the bill addresses specific requirements for medical disability benefit claims processes and personnel. 

• S. 141, the Senator Elizabeth Dole 21st Century Veterans Healthcare and Benefits Improvement Act: Introduced by Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kan.), the bill amends various Department of Veterans Affairs authorities related to health care, economic opportunity, disability and memorial affairs, veteran homelessness, and oversight and investigations. 

Sector Updates from the Judiciary 

Supreme Court Agrees to Hear a Lawsuit Surrounding Medicaid Patients’ Right to Provider Choice  

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to hear a lawsuit to determine whether Medicaid beneficiaries can sue  South Carolina for its decision to defund Planned Parenthood. Although Medicaid generally doesn’t cover abortion costs, Medicare patients were previously able to visit clinics that offered abortion care for other medical services, including screenings for cancer, high blood pressure, and cholesterol. 

 The lawsuit was brought by a patient with Medicaid who was diagnosed with diabetes and went to Planned Parenthood for birth control but wished to return to receive other care in the future. However, the patient was prevented from doing so due to a 2018 executive order issued by South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster that ordered the state’s Department of Health and Human Services to stop abortion clinics from participating in the Medicaid program.  

The lawsuit argued that McMaster’s order violated a provision of the Medicaid Act that allows Medicaid patients to seek health care from any “qualified” provider. McMaster maintained that the “payment of taxpayer funds to abortion clinics, for any purpose, results in the subsidy of abortion and the denial of the right to life.” 

The initial ruling was issued in favor of Planned Parenthood, as the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals determined that the case raises the larger question of whether Congress, through the Medicaid Act, grants individuals with Medicaid coverage the right to choose their health care provider freely.  

The Supreme Court will now hear the lawsuit. If the Supreme Court rules against Planned Parenthood and their Medicaid funding is revoked, similar family planning clinics that provide abortion care among other medical services will also lose federal funding. The closure of family planning clinics is expected to significantly reduce Medicaid patients’ access to and choice of affordable, quality family-planning care.   

Supreme Court Agrees to Hear a Lawsuit Surrounding Religious Exemptions for Unemployment Systems 

The Supreme Court agreed to hear a lawsuit filed by the Wisconsin chapter of Catholic Charities after the organization was disqualified from Wisconsin’s religious exemption. 

Wisconsin’s unemployment tax system reserves religious exemption for organizations “operated primarily for religious purposes.” The Wisconsin Supreme Court maintained Catholic Charities did not meet that requirement because it serves and employs individuals outside of the Catholic faith and provides services that secular organizations could offer.  

The Supreme Court decision is expected to broadly impact state unemployment systems, as 47 states have similar laws. It will also likely shape how organizations are determined to have a religious purpose, potentially affecting First Amendment religious protections.  

Subscribe to the Policy and Advocacy Radar to receive our biweekly policy roundup, which includes commentary on issues in Social Current’s federal policy agenda, opportunities to take action, and curated news and opportunities.

Social Current is pleased to announce the appointment of four new members to its board of directors. The new directors bring diverse perspectives and varied expertise, including public policy, nonprofit law, strategy and development, and equitable economic development. Along with returning board members they will work to further Social Current’s mission and vision of a healthy and equitable society where all people can thrive.

The newly added board members are:

• Tami Brown Alvarado, director of state government affairs and policy at Merck
• Seth Perlman, partner at Perlman+Perlman
• Cian Robinson, president of Robinson Ventures LLC
• Shawn D. Rochester, managing director at Trident Capital Group, and CEO of Good Steward

This year, human services consultant Tracy Wareing Evans begins her term as chair of the board. Thank you to our immediate past chair Annette Rodriguez, who will continue to serve as an officer.

Social Current thanks departing board members Melissa Devlin, assistant director of Grandfamilies & Kinship Support Network at Generations United, and Michelle Sanborn, president of Children’s Alliance of Kentucky, for their service on the board of directors.

The four new directors are joining the Social Current board, which is comprised of the following officers and directors:

Officers:

• Board Chair: Tracy Wareing Evans, human services consultant
  • She also serves as executive committee chair
• Vice-Chair and Secretary: Adria Johnson, president and CEO, Metro United Way
  • She also serves as the nominating and governance committee chair
• Treasurer: Reuben Rotman, president and CEO, Network of Jewish Human Service Agencies
  • He also serves as finance committee chair
• Immediate Past Chair: Annette Rodriguez, CEO & principal, Around the Corner Consulting

Directors:

• Ralph Bayard, senior director, Systems Improvement & Strategic Consultation, Casey Family Programs
• Alexandra L. Cawthorne-Gaines, executive director, Global Public Policy, JP Morgan Chase Policy Center
  • She also serves as EDI committee chair
• Richard J. Cohen, PhD, president, Public Health Fund
• Christa A. Hamilton, CEO, UCAN
• Lenora Hardy-Foster, president & CEO, Judson Center
• Sam Jackson, managing director, Lincoln International, LLC

The social sector is facing a complex and volatile landscape in 2025. While there are some positive trends, such as increased institutional trust in nonprofits, emerging community-based partnerships, and strategic technology integrations, there are also significant challenges, including funding threats, policy changes, and workforce shortages. Here we explore some of the key trends, opportunities, and risks that social sector organizations need to be aware of in Q1 to thrive in the coming year. But first, let’s understand how to make the most of trend inquiry and scenario planning.

Trend Inquiry

Trendspotting and trend analysis can be powerful for strategic planning by creating credible illustrations of what the future might look like. Based on that, community-based organizations and their cross-sector partners can align community priorities and resources to help all people reach their full potential.

The essential process of trend investigation is about asking the right questions about the right things. These can roughly be divided into three areas, with examples of questions below:

• Identification of trends. What are the trends we should follow? Are there any associated systems and disciplines we need to understand better before determining trend relevance?
• Analysis of the effects and possible projections. In which directions can a trend lead? What impact can a trend have on our strengths and weaknesses? Can we expect more or less support from partners and collaborators?
• Analysis of the implications. What do these trends mean for our community? How will child and family well-being change as a result? Do we have adequate organizational capacity in relation to this trend?

Scenario Planning

Developing robust scenarios can help bridge present circumstances with future requirements. The range and value of organizational opportunities based on trend analysis depend on scenarios that should include most of these criteria:

• Plausible. Logical, consistent, and believable
• Relevant. Highlighting key challenges and dynamics of the future
• Divergent. Different from each other in strategically significant ways
• Challenging. Questioning fundamental beliefs and assumptions

By evaluating relevant trends compiled through primary and secondary research and using the analysis to explore governance and operational scenarios, the ability to optimize programs and services and create achievable pathways to positive community outcomes is strengthened.

Harnessing Trends

The Social Current Knowledge and Insights Center, available through our Impact Partnerships, helps professionals in human/social services to learn, improve, and innovate by providing timely, useful, and relevant information and resources.

Professional librarians routinely gather trends data on a variety of organizational topics, such as workforce resilience and service innovation, as well as meta trends that encompass demographics, systemic and environmental factors, technology, and more.

This is done by:

• Employing an evidence-first approach to evaluate and scan the knowledge base of an area of inquiry, especially scope, relevance, and utility
• Reviewing and evaluating information sources for credibility and thoroughness
• Working closely with subject matter experts to define specific questions to be answered, problems to be solved, or opportunities to uncover

Systematizing the information in a way that users can quickly and easily understand.

Key Trends We’re Following in 2025

Below are some of the key topics that we will be monitoring in 2025.

Funding and Policy Trends

• Institutional Trust: Despite an increase in institutional trust, the social sector braces for funding threats.
• Diversified Revenue Streams: To handle economic and political uncertainty, nonprofits seek to diversify their revenue streams.
• Insurance Liability Crisis: Human services organizations are facing unprecedented financial strain due to increased liability insurance costs.
• Tax Policy Implications: The expiration of TCJA provisions and a new focus on nonprofit exemptions could result in major impacts to the social sector.

Technology Trends

• Leveraging AI: Social sector organizations are using AI to automate routine functions, gain organizational insights, and increase productivity.
• Risk Management: While capitalizing on innovative technologies, nonprofits must remain human-centered and mitigate risks such as algorithmic bias, cybersecurity risks, and privacy risks.

Workforce and Performance Trends

• Nonprofits are struggling to pay competitive wages and many social sector employees face financial hardship.
• Workforce shortages continue to impede nonprofit progress and innovation.
• Leadership gaps reveal inequities and barriers to advancement
• Workforce Resilience: Burnout continues to plague nonprofits, but many organizations are making employee mental health a priority
• PQI: Nonprofits are developing and updating their PQI Models to stay sustainable and mission-oriented.
• Partnering with Social Cooperatives: Nonprofits are promoting worker co-ops through incubation.

Social Determinants of Health Trends

• New community partnerships will be formed to address SDOH.
• New policies will impact the way we measure and address SDOH.
• Expanding the definition of SDOH.

Equity, Diversity, Inclusion, and Belonging Trends

• Opportunities and uncertainties on the horizon for EDIB initiatives.
• Technology will provide crucial insights into the impact and effectiveness of EDIB initiatives.
• Intersectional approaches will provide a more nuanced and inclusive delivery of EDIB workplace initiatives.

While the social sector faces a complex landscape of opportunities and threats in 2025, Social Current is here to partner with you along the way. By staying agile, adaptable, and mission-driven, social sector organizations can continue to thrive in the coming year. Social Current offers a variety of resources and solutions services to help you navigate funding and policy changes, build workforce resilience, and address social determinants of health. We are committed to helping you achieve your mission and make a positive impact in your community.

Download the full trend report for details and ways to partner with Social Current.

How to Access Our Specialized Researchers & Tools

As you plan for 2025 and beyond, make sure you’re utilizing all the tools in your toolbox. For more information on the resources portal, including the Ask-a-Librarian reference request service, visit the Social Current Hub or contact the Knowledge and Insights Center.

About the Knowledge and Insights Center

The Knowledge and Insights Center offers a robust resources portal through the Social Current Hub, which includes a digital clearinghouse library with over 20,000 records; aggregated research and business databases; diverse topic collections and library guides; original content summarizing complex information; and coaching that helps users maximize these resources.

Social Current’s grassroots advocacy network offers an opportunity to work collaboratively with other human service organizations to create positive social change. The grassroots advocacy network is a rapid response team that will take collective action to drive timely, impactful solutions. Participants will receive opportunities to grow your advocacy skills, connect with like-minded advocates, and amplify their organizations’ work. 

By joining, advocates will: 

• Receive action alerts to engage in legislative advocacy 
• Gain access to exclusive resources on key issues 
• Receive select training and networking opportunities 

Share your information to join. 

Congressional Budget Office Discusses Extending Premium Tax Credits for Individuals Without Insurance

The Congressional Budget Office recently wrote a letter to Congress about the effects of extending the expanded premium tax credit structure provided in the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (ARPA). 

The expanded credits lowered the amount individuals needed to pay for insurance, including for those with incomes above 400% of the federal poverty level. They significantly increased access to health care; however, the provisions will expire at the end of the 2025 calendar year. 

Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Director Phillip Swagel warned of the significant harm associated with failing to extend the credits. CBO estimates that it would leave a staggering number of individuals unable to afford insurance: 

• 2.2 million individuals in 2026 
• 3.7 million individuals in 2027 
• 3.8 million each year from 2026 to 2034 

The CBO also predicts that ending the credits could lead to healthier individuals, without the incentive, to leave the marketplaces. This would lead to higher premiums for the remaining enrollees. Premiums could rise by 4.3% in 2026, by 7.7% in 2027, and by about 7.9% annually through 2034. 

New Rule Requires State Title IV-E Agencies to Collect and Report ICWA Data

The Administration for Children and Families (ACF) has released a final rule amending the AFCARS regulations, mandating that state Title IV-E agencies collect and report key data elements related to the procedural requirements of the Indian Child Welfare Act (ICWA) of 1978. This rule aims to enhance transparency and accountability in child welfare practices affecting Native American children and families.

State Title IV-E agencies will now be required to gather and report the following information:

• Inquiry into ICWA Status: Whether the state asked certain individuals if the child qualifies as an Indian child under ICWA and when the agency first identified the child as potentially meeting this definition.
• ICWA Notice: Whether the child’s parent or Indian custodian was notified as required under ICWA.
• Court Determination of ICWA Applicability: Whether and when a court ruled that ICWA applies to the child’s case.
• Tribal Court Transfer Requests: Information on requests to transfer cases to Tribal court, including whether such requests were denied and the reasons for denial.
• Parental Rights Termination and Child Removals: Data on voluntary and involuntary terminations of parental rights and removals under ICWA.
• ICWA Placement Preferences: Information on whether the agency met the placement preferences specified by ICWA.
• Efforts to Prevent Family Separation: Whether the state Title IV-E agency made active efforts to prevent the separation of the Indian family.

State Title IV-E agencies will have three federal fiscal years to comply with the new requirements while continuing to report data already mandated by current regulations.

This updated rule highlights the importance of ICWA in protecting the welfare and cultural heritage of Native American children and families, ensuring that child welfare practices align with federal requirements.

Updates from the Judiciary

Supreme Court Considers Constitutionality of Ban on Gender-affirming Medical Treatments for Transgender Adolescents
The U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments in early December to determine the constitutionality of a Tennessee law banning puberty blockers, hormone therapy, and surgery for those under the age of 18. The law also criminalizes doctors and providers who seek to support transgender youth seeking gender-affirming affirming care. This ruling is expected to significantly shape transgender youth’s access to gender-affirming care, as 26 states have enacted similar laws or policies.

The Biden administration and three transgender youths and their families challenged the Tennessee law, contending it violates the Constitution’s equal protection clause. They highlighted the discrepancy in prohibiting the use of treatments for gender dysphoria, while retaining their legal use for other purposes, including congenital disorders or physical injuries.
However, Tennessee Solicitor General J. Matthew Rice argued that certain gender-affirming treatments may pose health risks and that gender exploration is sometimes temporary.

Conservative justices appeared to favor Tennessee’s position, with Chief Justice John Roberts asserting that the medical decisions should be determined by the people’s elected representatives, such as state legislatures rather than the judiciary. In contrast, liberal justices expressed concern over granting state legislatures significant authority to regulate medical decisions.

The Supreme Court is not expected to release its decision for several months, although its verdict will likely have significant implications for gender-affirming care for minors, as nearly 40% of transgender youth ages 13 to 17 currently live in states with restrictions.

Idaho Law Restricting Minors’ Ability to Access Out-of-State Abortions Partially Upheld
A federal appeals court will allow an Idaho law that will impose criminal penalties on those who help a minor obtain an out-of-state abortion without parental consent. Often referred to as an abortion trafficking ban, the first-of-its-kind law is intended to prevent minors from seeking abortions in neighboring states where the procedure is legal.
Idaho only allows abortions in medical emergencies and cases of rape or incest that are reported to police. While this is one of the strictest abortion bans in the country, neighboring states, Oregon, Washington, and Montana, have significantly fewer restrictions.

Adults who help a minor access a medical or surgical abortion by “recruiting, harboring, or transporting” them without parent or guardian’s permission are subject to a felony charge, punishable by two to five years in prison. The appellate panel permitted Idaho to enforce the law’s criminalization of “harboring or transporting” a minor, but the court maintained the state cannot prosecute individuals who simply provide information about where to obtain an abortion, or who provide other types of financial or logistical assistance to receive an abortion in a state that has legalized abortions.

The federal appeals court determined encouragement, counseling, and emotional support; education about available medical services and reproductive health care; and public advocacy promoting abortion care and abortion access were protected speech. Advocates agree and maintain it is a critical protection to ensure minors receive accurate information in Idaho, a state with severely restricted access to abortions.

Court Decision Raises the Bar for 501(c)(4) Nonprofits but Advocacy Remains Strong
A recent Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling has introduced stricter standards for 501(c)(4) organizations seeking tax-exempt status. In the case, Memorial Hermann Accountable Care Organization v. Commissioner, the court applied a “substantial nonexempt purpose test,” which disqualifies organizations if any significant nonexempt activities exist. This replaces the more lenient “primary purpose test” previously used by the IRS.

This decision, which was influenced by the Supreme Court’s Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo ruling, underscores the increasing need for nonprofits to demonstrate that their activities benefit the public good. However, this does not signal a need for organizations to scale back lobbying or advocacy efforts. Under the Internal Revenue Code, 501(c)(4) organizations can engage in unlimited lobbying and advocacy if political campaign activity remains a secondary purpose, far below 50% of total spending.

While the ruling directly impacts 501(c)(4) nonprofits, it has broader implications for 501(c)(3) organizations. Increased scrutiny of tax-exempt organizations may lead to more rigorous oversight of 501(c)(3) activities, especially those related to related to advocacy and lobbying. Although 501(c)(3) organizations face stricter lobbying limits than 501(c)(4)s, they must carefully document their compliance with IRS regulations to ensure their advocacy activities are within permissible bounds. This includes tracking expenditures and maintaining clear distinctions between advocacy and political campaign activities.

Although the ruling raises concerns about compliance, it’s important to avoid undue fear. Advocacy and lobbying remain essential for 501(c)(4) organizations to influence policy and serve their missions. To mitigate risks, organizations can take proactive steps, such as ensuring diverse funding sources, including outside representation on governing boards, and thoroughly vetting activities to emphasize their social welfare impact. By focusing on transparency and aligning programs with their public mission, nonprofits can confidently continue their vital work while adhering to evolving regulatory standards.

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Social Current is now accepting presentation proposals for its SPARK 2025 conference, to be held Oct. 20-21 in Chicago. This event will activate our collective power by sparking bold thinking and new conversations around some of our sector’s most vexing challenges. SPARK 2025 will offer a forum to connect, learn, refuel, and be inspired.

The deadline to submit presentations was Jan 28, 2025.

Social Current’s mission is to advocate for and implement equitable solutions through collaboration, innovation, federal public policy, and practice excellence. This conference will convene and unite a diverse community from across our network and sector to share their expertise and drive toward an equitable society where all people can thrive.

Proposal Guidelines and Deadlines

• All workshop proposals must be submitted through the online submission form by Jan. 28, 2025.
• All required information must be submitted for consideration.
• Proposed content should be appropriate for the 90-minute sessions. Participants prefer interactive sessions with clear takeaways and tools, rather than exclusively lecture.
• A maximum of three presenters/panelists is recommended.
• Workshops intended to sell a product, consultant, or program will not be considered.
• Submitting a proposal does not guarantee acceptance. Individuals will be notified by April 18, 2025 if their presentations have been selected for the SPARK 2025 program.
• Presenters are not paid for their participation but will receive a $75 discount on the conference registration rate.

Core Areas of Focus

Social Current welcomes presentations that will engage, challenge, educate, and inspire participants to act. While emphasis will be placed on the core areas below, we welcome submissions that address other current issues affecting and important to our sector.

Brain-Friendly and Trauma-Informed Approaches
Sessions should address the integration of brain-friendly, healing-centered, and trauma-informed knowledge, skills, and strategies into change efforts for programs, organizational culture, and/or systems. Consider topics that highlight how we apply brain-friendly and trauma-informed interventions to prevent toxic stress and increase positive experiences for children, families, social sector workforce, and communities. Suggested topics also include ways to merge brain-friendly and equity, diversity, and inclusion practices to strengthen our organizations.

Child, Family, and Community Well-Being
Sessions should describe innovative strategies for nurturing child and family well-being within communities, including efforts to transform child welfare systems into 21st-century child and family well-being systems, which involves but is not limited to child protective services. Consider proactive, public health approaches that address the social determinants of health, separate neglect from abuse, prioritize equitable solutions to better support families, and shift power toward families and communities and those with lived experience.

COA Accreditation
Sessions should discuss keys to achieving COA Accreditation and explore the immediate and ongoing benefits of accreditation on organizations, the workforce, and persons served. Consider topics such as the return on investment in COA Accreditation, the importance of using data and quality improvement processes to impact service delivery, how to engage your board and/or staff in the COA Accreditation process, ways to leverage your accreditation, and “best in class” examples of standard implementation.

Equity, Diversity, Inclusion
Sessions should address how to create just, fair, and inclusive organizational cultures and communities through policies, practices, and leadership, despite legal, political, and additional external factors that are challenging EDI efforts. Consider topics related to addressing inequity in health, education, wealth, systems involvement, and the workplace based on race, sexual orientation, age, gender, socio-economic status, and ability.

Government Affairs and Advocacy
Sessions should explore strategies to effect positive change locally, regionally, or nationally. We invite presentations that share insight on how to successfully influence policy, engage lawmakers, and mobilize grassroots efforts. These sessions will examine the intersection of public policy, community engagement, and social impact with the goal of creating a more just and equitable society.

Leadership and Organizational Development
Sessions should discuss leadership approaches, strategies, and frameworks for developing the next generation of social sector leaders so that they can address challenges and sustain success to achieve greater impact. Consider approaches that promote the skills needed to create and sustain equitable, inclusive, organizational cultures.

Submit your proposal through the online submission form by Jan. 28, 2025.